15 Jul · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Cesak
MZ
🇨🇿Martin Zajicek
ELO 1477
FormWLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)