16 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1577
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1605
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Prochazka goes over total as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.