15 Jul · 22:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1601
1-3Final setsKos won
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1477
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 55%. The actual result was Pawel Kos 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Karol Guzy favoured — closing 1.48
Total 79.5
69 points played
Set handicap
Karol Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Karol Guzy −4.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.51
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kos.
▲ Karol Guzypre 59% → final 91%
Pawel Kos ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts72 points · 4 games