16 Jul · 13:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1564
FormWLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sykora
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1441
FormLWLLW
60%
40%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (92)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)