16 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FD
🇨🇿Frantisek Dvorak
ELO 1583
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dvorak
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1473
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H21-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)