16 Jul · 14:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1542
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sykora
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1564
FormWLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Varecka covers set handicap as underdog 79% (19)
Fair odds · Sykora
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.