16 Jul · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1577
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1596
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (43)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H59-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.