16 Jul · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1567
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1606
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (43)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H61-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.