16 Jul · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1586
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1678
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Niezgoda🌟Niezgoda covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H33-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)