16 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1634
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Galus
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1535
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Galus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H38-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-36)