16 Jul · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1632
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1678
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H21-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.