16 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1770
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1807
FormLWLWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanek🌟Vanek covers set handicap as underdog 76% (59)
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H11-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.