16 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Niezgoda
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1586
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Niezgoda stays under total as favourite 63% (63)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)