16 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1612
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1702
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H61-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-47)