16 Jul · 18:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1678
FormWWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sarganek
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1529
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+149
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)