16 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1558
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pokorny
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1476
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H9-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)