16 Jul · 17:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇨🇿Radek Krcal
ELO 1612
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krcal
FK
🇨🇿Filip Karel
ELO 1606
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Krcal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.