16 Jul · 17:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1589
0-3Final setsDuch won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1669
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 53%. The actual result was Adam Duch 0-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.6
Total 80.5
67 points played
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Karol Guzypre 43% → final 4%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsDuch recovered from 37%66 points · 3 games