16 Jul · 17:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1478
2-3Final setsKral won
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1469
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Tlusty at 57%. The actual result was Adam Kral 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Milan Tlusty favoured — closing 1.34
Total 76.5
103 points played
Set handicap
Milan Tlusty −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Milan Tlusty −5.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.4
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milan Tlusty is favoured to win, below means Adam Kral.
▲ Milan Tlustypre 61% → final 78%
Adam Kral ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsTlusty recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games