16 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1545
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1652
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)