17 Jul · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1526
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1506
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.