17 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1410
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Marat
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1408
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Marat goes over total as favourite 74% (31)
Fair odds · Marat
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.