17 Jul · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1506
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1624
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)