17 Jul · 13:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1585
FormWWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hyza
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1565
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.