17 Jul · 08:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1555
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1479
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (14)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)