17 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1506
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1539
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.