17 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1549
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Langer
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1467
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (65)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)