17 Jul · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1493
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kanak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1512
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.