17 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1573
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vosyka
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1506
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)