17 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1604
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fiklik
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1585
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (109)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H30-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.