17 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1514
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1585
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)