17 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1451
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kindl
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1530
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 74% (27)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)