17 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1460
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1493
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (45)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.