17 Jul · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kindl
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1530
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Kindl goes over total as favourite 74% (27)
Fair odds · Kindl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.