17 Jul · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mrowetz
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1508
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.