17 Jul · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1624
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chvatal
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1522
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)