17 Jul · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1524
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molin
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1451
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Molin goes over total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)