17 Jul · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1479
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1524
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.