17 Jul · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1509
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrowetz
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Janik
ELO 1451
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Mrowetz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (23)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)