17 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1559
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1539
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H22-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.