17 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1490
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1550
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H45-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)