17 Jul · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1556
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1622
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)