17 Jul · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1440
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Branny
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.