17 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1524
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Koutnik
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1439
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Koutnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)