17 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1478
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1547
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (51)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H21-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-18)