17 Jul · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1598
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kleprlik
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1516
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)