17 Jul · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1435
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rak
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1541
FormLWLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Rak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)