17 Jul · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1576
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1516
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Moravec stays under total as favourite 78% (18)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)