17 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1547
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vodal
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1524
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Koutnik🌟Koutnik covers set handicap as underdog 71% (42)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.