17 Jul · 21:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1622
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaloupka
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1598
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kleprlik
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H28-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.